November, overall, will probably somewhat similar conditions to October, except slightly weaker heat waves and slightly stronger cold waves. Overall, very slightly above average temperatures.
For the first half, it’s short cold waves and short heat waves, with a pretty dominant heat wave coming up from the 6th to 10th. It looks like very changeable temperatures for the first 5 days, then the heat wave – which’ll probably get us at least one 10 degree day – and then a cooling trend towards the 12th. It does seem that we could see another quick heat wave after that for 1-3 days, but that’s still pretty uncertain.
For the entire first half, everything is very uncertain. I have forecasted that we’ll probably continue the pattern of quick alternating heat and cold waves, but there is a chance at a more extended cold wave. Maybe. Hard to tell. I do see The Weather Network plunging towards -4 for it’s last handful of days on the 14 day forecast, but I also see AccuWeather saying a heat wave right there. I do see AccuWeather’s temperature forecast going pretty far down for the last 7 days of the month, but usually I notice AccuWeather’s weeks of 3-4-5 are not the best and actually considerable worse than something like weeks 6 and 7. So, second half of November: We’ll have to wait and see.
One more thing, What I have noticed is the forecasts don’t seems to take El Niño/La Niña into account, because last winter the highs were overall ending up higher than what the forecasts say, but recently they’ve been lower. This does mean that even though Environment Canada may have been saying 15 degrees for Thursday, it is not unlikely that it’ll end up below 10.