October is looking pretty changeable, as in the temperature will change a lot, and the forecast will change a lot. Since we’re heading into a weak La Niña, and the patterns aren’t being easily predictable, so I’ll wont be able to give you much more than a vague idea of what’s coming in the next month. Of course, take everything with a grain of salt, a bigger grain of salt the farther we venture in the forecast. Weather’s always changing unpredictably, especially this October.
We’re starting off in the short time frame without much uncertainty. It looks like Wednesday and Thursday will have highs near 10, so feels like in winds in the “very cold” range. It does seems like afterwards, we’ll get a handful of degrees above 20 in a heat wave mainly based on the 7th.
Everything after the next week, especially the second half of October, could really end up being anything. The overall pattern seems similar to recent times, with alternating short El Niño and La Niña patterns. For now, I’ll give you a table of possible dates for those.
| Date | Type | Strength (This can change a lot!) |
| 3rd | Cold | Medium – High |
| 7th | Heat | Medium – High |
| 10th | Cold | Low |
| 13th | Heat | Medium – High |
| 16th | Cold | Could be any |
| 19th | Heat | Low |
| 20th | Cold | Could be any |
| 22nd | Heat | Very hard to tell if it’ll happen |
| 23rd | Cold | Very hard to tell if it’ll happen |
| 24th | Heat | Very hard to tell if it’ll happen |
| 25th | Cold | Very hard to tell if it’ll happen |
| 26th | Heat | Very hard to tell if it’ll happen |
| 31st | Cold | Could be any |
One period of importance here the 16th – 21st. This place has the possibility of becoming an extended cold wave. It’s very hard to say, but it might not be too unlikely. If it happens, it could bring significant snowfall!
I’ll update you with another post if the forecast ever gets a little more confident.